SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON OUTLOOK
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON
NOVEMBER 1-APRIL 30
NEW OUTLOOK RELEASED
Tropical cyclones, like hurricanes, are known for their powerful winds, heavy rains, and potential to cause significant destruction. Tropical cyclones frequently affect the southern Pacific and can pose serious threats to both public health and infrastructure. All vessels are advised to have a plan of action for the cyclone season.
According to New Zealand's National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and Metservice, the South Pacific may see either fewer or a normal number of tropical cyclones this season. The cyclone season in the South Pacific starts November 1 and runs until the April 30, with the typical 'peak' of the season being January - March. The outlook that has recently been released, "Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook - October 2024" describes a slower start to the Cyclone season, potentially less cyclone risk overall in the eastern region while potentially elevated risk in the western region. According to the NIWA Outlook, "As of early October 2024, sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean are below average and close to La Niña thresholds." Forecasters are observing more La Niña-like characteristics that tend to reduce risk in the east and elevate risk in the west where warmer water may 'stack up' later in the season. As with many weather outlooks of late there continues to be caution that while there may be less risk in the frequency of tropical storms this season, there is still a risk that those that come may intensify more rapidly or simply be very intense.
For cruisers in French Polynesia South Pacific Posse member Scott on Tartaruga shares:
What is critical to following storms in FP is the location of the MJO. Madden Julien Oscillation. You can research that but when that is over French Poly that is when the highest probability of big storms occur. Per some local Tahiti sailors they almost never have any cyclonic storms outside of MJO events. This last season Fiji announced the MJO forecast and when it would be over FP and boom the storms came. Also note that Fiji is the official metrological organization for these storms. Another important data point is they name their storms very early, mean the wind scale starts at a much lower number....NOAA tracks (the MJO) closely as well. I would educate yourself on how to read the graph. It is a bit strange.
Fiji Meteorological Service Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre Nadi-Tropical Cyclone Centre also just released a forecast on the upcoming tropical Cyclone season. Their predictions are similar.
Stay alert on great weather sites including:
- https://www.met.gov.fj/index.php?page=tcoutlook
- https://niwa.co.nz/climate-and-weather/southwest-pacific-tropical-cyclone-outlook/southwest-pacific-tropical-cyclone-outlook-october-2024
MEXICO ENTRY AND EXIT REQUIREMENTS
MEXICO ENTRY AND EXIT REQUIREMENTS
FOR FOREIGN FLAGGED VESSELS
- Paperwork and fees for the people (and animals) onboard the vessel.
- This involves getting tourist visas through Immigration and going through customs. Visitors need to provide their passport, crew list, and vessel documentation.
- Paperwork and fees for the Vessel to obtain a TIP.
- TIP’s are temporary Import Permits that boat owners apply for and pay for upon entry into Mexico. Captains present vessel and ownership documentation for permit. The TIP is on the vessel and the ownership of the vessel is unimportant. The fee is less than $100 and yet the paperwork associated with it is the vessel’s Golden ticket into Mexico. TIP’s for foreign flagged vessels are valid for ten years in Mexican waters. Foreign vessels are meant to cancel their TIP upon exiting Mexican waters.
When a vessel leaves Mexico without cancelling their TIP and this same vessel tries to enter Mexico complications arise. In recent years, one of the biggest challenges cruisers entering Mexico have faced is discovering that their vessel has an uncanceled TIP. If a vessel is found in Mexico without their ‘Golden Ticket’. The vessel can be impounded immediately. Only fees, paperwork and stress build in this scenario.
OCEAN POSSE REPRESENTS AT ANNAPOLIS BOAT SHOW 2024
OCEAN POSSE REPRESENTS AT ANNAPOLIS BOAT SHOW 2024
EXPANDING POSSE PERKS: YACHT PORT CARTAGENA, SPAIN💰 Save real money at Marinas with discounts
ANNOUNCING: NEW MARINAS SIGNING ON WITH THE OCEAN POSSE
EXPANDING POSSE PERK:💰 Save real money at Marinas with discounts
SV QUESO GRANDE II and Captain Dietmar kicked off the first Ocean Posse event in Yacht Port Cartagena, Spain!
Dietmar says: Thank you Sherri for all the event support and promotion to the international cruisers who came! AND THANK YOU LANCE FOR SOME SUCCULENT RIBS !!!
Sherri from SV QUESO GRANDE II says: Great fun, great cruisers, and great grilled meat by my darling husband Lance.
Currently, the Ocean Posse has ????some number of marinas in ????some number of countries bla bla bla. This represents great savings bla bla bla
OVERSEAS AND ONLINE: PASSPORT RENEWAL & VOTING
OVERSEAS AND ONLINE: USA PASSPORT RENEWAL & VOTING
As a US citizen, passports and voting rights are very important. Both can be kept up to date from afar...here's how:
After a two month beta trial, The United States Department of State has recently announced that Americans can now renew their passports online. This is new and additional staff has been hired to process the online system. The two caveats are for using this service: You must be located in the United States and your passport may not be expired by over 5 years. As of now, it is unclear if this new avenue of renewal will speed up the process overall or not. We will have to wait and see.
Americans have elections coming up locally and nationally. Are you registered to vote? Do you know that US Citizens living abroad can register to vote from overseas?
There are several online resource to help US citizens understand how to register to vote and vote from wherever they are when the time comes. Some useful sites include:
- https://www.overseasvotefoundation.org/welcome-overseas-vote-from-abroad
- here you can learn all about overseas voting, what it means and terminology.
- https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/28/smarter-living/american-vote-from-abroad.html
- here you can learn how to register and vote overseas
- https://www.fvap.gov/citizen-voter
- here you can register to vote from overseas and directly link to your state site with your registration and state specific options
- https://www.votefromabroad.org/
- Here you can also register or see a very clear state by state graphic of state voting acceptance procedure.
SUN POWERED YACHTS SPONSORS THE OCEAN POSSE
☀️ SUN POWERED YACHTS ☀️
⛵SPONSORS THE OCEAN POSSE⛵
We are exited and pleased to sponsor the Panama Posse with a special 10% discount off SunPower solar panel bundles. Just use promocode PANAMAPOSSE at checkout www.sunpoweredyachts.com/shop and start enjoying clean & quiet solar aboard your boat.
We also offer free consultations so please email or call and let us help you go solar today. PRODUCTS
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Sun Powered Yachts
T: +1 808 825 2670
Lyall is from the UK and has travelled to 50 countries backpacking and sailing. With a background in Hospitality and Event Management he found sailing in 2004 has logged over 55,000 miles and qualified as an RYA Yachtmaster Ocean.
Katie is from Maine and has been working in the solar industry in Hawaii for over a decade, most recently for Sunspear Energy. Her knowledge of solar products and system design will be an asset to your yacht’s system. |
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Based on our time and experience sailing, on short trips and living at sea, we have created a Power Usage Chart below. You can see more details on what each system could power on your weekend or live aboard sailing adventure. Create your own power usage table and see what your power needs are aboard your own yacht then choose the number of solar panels accordingly |
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POSSE PERK: 🗺️3 DAYS OF LEARNING SEMINARS
POSSE PERK: 🗺️3 DAYS OF LEARNING SEMINARS
INCLUDED WITH OCEAN POSSE SIGN UPS
coming up in Safe Harbor, San Diego
October 23-25, 2024 @ Safe Harbor South Bay, San Diego
https://oceanposse.com/events/san-diego-seminar-series/
Sneak a Peak at the Seminars and Schedule...
WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 23rd, 2024 ● SEMINARS
$ 45 per person x day or FREE
FOR OCEAN ° PANAMA ° SOUTH PACIFIC POSSE PARTICIPANTS
09:00
Cruising down Pacific Mexico
10:00
Water Makers + Plumbing in Paradise
11:30
Diesel Engines & Generators and preventative Maintenance
12:30 LUNCH
Open CPN – installation and integration (PC + MAC )
14:00
Rigging 101 Standing and Running
15:30
Weather Weather Weather – planning – routing – underway
16:30
Crew the good the bad and the ugly
17:00
Destination Costa Rica and Nicaragua
THURSDAY OCTOBER 24th, 2024 ● SEMINARS
09:00
South Pacific – French Polynesia – Cook Islands – Tonga & Fiji
10:00
Safety Security and Emergencies outside the US and what to expect
11:00
Electrical Systems – Batteries, Chargers, Alternators, Solar Panels
12:30 LUNCH
Cruising in Panama + the Panama Canal
14:00
Where and how to repair boats outside the US
15:30
The tropics – Refrigeration, AC, Shading, Airflow + other ways to stay cool
17:00
Destination Colombia, Jamaica & Bay of Islands Honduras
FRIDAY OCTOBER 25th, 2024 ● SEMINARS + PARTY
09:00
Destination Belize & Rio Dulce Guatemala
10:00
Communications onboard, underway and on shore
11:30
The fundamentals of wires, connectors and fuses
12:30 LUNCH
Open CPN – Satellite Charts – Use Cases and Satellite Chart creation
14:00
Chart Accuracy, Navigation Trips and Tricks & Tracking
15:30
Provisioning, Propane and Fuel – where to replenish
17:00 – 21:00 PPPPARTY
UPCOMING PREDICTWIND SEMINARS
UPCOMING PREDICTWIND SEMINARS
PredictWind began sponsoring the Panama Posse in 2021. As of Season 8 PredictWind is extending their sponsorship to the entire Ocean Posse and is offering four seminars over the next 6 months.
MARK YOUR CALENDARS FOR THE UPCOMING SEMINARS
The upcoming seminar dates are as follows:
- WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 23rd, 2024 @ 15:30 US PACIFIC TIME
- THURSDAY DECEMBER 5, 2024 @ 14:30 US PACIFIC TIME
- MONDAY FEB 2, 2025 @ 14:30 US PACIFIC TIME
- MONDAY MARCH 17 2025 @ 14:30 US PACIFC TIME
PredictWind supports the Ocean Posse with free tracking and a 20 % Discount off our pro packages – to claim your discount please login and email support@predictwind.com asking for your Ocean Posse discount. Please include your vessel name and email address. The discount will be credited back.
PASSAGE REPORT TO PANAMA FROM COLUMBIA
PASSAGE REPORT TO PANAMA FROM COLUMBIA:
with Check-In Procedure at El Porvenir
Recently, SV ATARAXIA sailed from northern Columbia to Panama. They wanted to visit a very unique and special part of Panama: the Guna Yala Archipelago, also known as the San Blas Islands before. The Archipelago is in northeastern Panamanian waters and is home to the Guna (or Kuna) Yala people, the largest Panamanian indigenous group. The archipelago is known for being a jewel of Panama with palm covered islands amid clear turquoise water.
SV ATARAXIA wanted to visit this archipelago upon entering Panamanian waters pushing on to the more formal and bustling city of Colon on Panama's mainland, at the northern end of the Panama Canal. Below Skipper Ludwig shares from his passage notes their experience entering Panama through El Porvenir:
Well, we were right : you should have come. Guna Yala is really beautiful.
We left Cartagena de Indias, Colombia 2 days ago and last night was a pretty calm night. We sailed under main alone and we still were making good enough speed that we had to turn a circle at sea before entering El Porvenir, allowing us to come in during daylight.
We anchored and went ashore to ask where immigration was. El Porvenir is in fact just 1 airstrip for small planes and that explains why there is immigration. But first you need to visit the Comarca Guna Yala congresso office to pay to the indigenous people that own these islands for a ‘cruising permit’, something like an entry fee for paradise. Then it is on to the immigration office. Given there are only 2 buildings or rather structures, it wasn’t all that difficult to find even if you hadn’t slept much the previous night.
When it was finally our turn to be cleared in, all we needed was some extra photocopies (conveniently available at the congresso for 50 cts) and we got our immigration stamps. What about customs? “Go and do that in Colon” we were told. OK, nothing can be perfect not even in paradise.
Noonsite says that you can clear immigration in El Porvenir, and indeed they do. They stamp both your passport and your exit zarpe from Colombia. It looks like a stamp is the only thing they have, so they do not produce any paper, they just....stamp. We had our agent, Erick Galvez request a cruising permit for us beforehand. In fact, we set that in motion a month before arriving in Panama. It still wasn't ready when we got to El Porvenir, an unusual slow process that has since (we were there early June 2024) been sped up. Either way, we were assured by every instance be it official or non-official that our immigration stamps were really the critical ones and we had those! We received our cruising permit while we were back in the USA and our boat on the hard. While this sounds 'different' from other places, to the Panamanians it seemed pretty obvious. And every single official was friendly, ...and so were we.
While we were anchoring at first light, 2 canoes with Guna women were paddling towards us. We had some trouble finding the right spot to anchor and so these ladies had their rowing workout cut out for them, chasing ATARAXIA.
It is not my preferred thing to do, bartering over molas or other stuff after being awake for half a night, but it was clear these ladies were not going to give up, so we have some very nice molas already to fly home with us.
Then we moved the boat to Lemon Cays, one of these smaller archipelagoes where all the islands end in ‘dup’ (Bandup, Nuriandup or some other tongue twister). Upon arrival we were greeted by a canoe with 3 fishermen who held up a lobster in the international language of trade. We signaled to hold off a bit so that we could anchor but once that was out of the way, we bought 4 lobster for 5USD per piece. We didn’t even try to get a lower price. With that, you know what Louis, our crew-chef is working on right now.
Time for the restless to go and explore the underwater world and they came back with all the wonderful things they saw including a shark (a real one, not a nurse shark). While they were doing that, I stayed back to defend the fort, hey someone got to do it, and sure enough we were invaded by a clever bird that flew into the cabin, picked open the plastic packaging of a baguette and decided those baguettes are really good. I agreed and therefore I chased him away. We want to eat that baguette (at least the other part of it).
We intend to stay 2 nights here in this anchorage as there is a lot more to explore.
SV ATARAXIA Ludwig – Etap Yachting 46’
THANK YOU FOR SHARING YOUR EXPERIENCE LUDWIG!
FIJI REGATTA WEEK 2024
UPCOMING EVENT : FIJI REGATTA WEEK
11-15 September, 2024
in beautiful Musket Cove
Registration for the 2024 40th Anniversary Regatta is now open. Please book early!
This link will take you to the Regatta Registration form.
Please note this form is for Regatta Registrations only. For all Marina Berth and Mooring bookings, please email Patrick directly at: mcyc@musketcovefiji.com. Please book early as there are limited Marina Berths available.
https://pacificposse.com/musket-cove-marina
MUSKET COVE MARINA
SPONSORS THE PANAMA POSSE
We welcome any of the South Pacific Posse to Musket Cove at any time.
We’re pleased to offer a Free Berthing Day for 5 Paid Days to all of your Posse Members.
Wayne Deed
Director of Sales & Marketing
Musket Cove Island Resort & Marina
Malolo Lailai Island
Fiji Islands
m| +64 21 824266
P | +679 666 2215